New England Patriots 2013 Championship Outlook

While it may seem early for some to start projecting the Patriots' chances to hoist the Lombardi Trophy in 2013 we here at beg to differ. Football is our obsession and the game has turned into a year round sport. There is always time for analysis and speculation, every month of the year.

Patriots 2013 Super Bowl Odds

Most mobile sports betting sites list the Super Bowl Future Odds at +650 for the Patriots. This price makes them the favorite to head back to the Super Bowl in 2014, just slightly behind the San Francisco 49ers at +700. The Denver Broncos and Seattle Seahawks are tied for third overall favorites at +800 odds to win the Super Bowl XLVIII.

Offseason Moves

Since we're far away from training camp and just over a month until the NFL draft, we can only analyze New England's free agency moves so far and how these might impact the Pats in the coming season.

Welker Out, Amendola In
It's bittersweet to see Wes Welker go, especially considering the price Denver nabbed the wide receiver at (two years, $12 million). We do not know all the facts, but it does seem like New England's original offer was insultingly low in the mind of Welker and the front office may have not truly wanted the wide out back at all or weren't willing to pay much for his services. With Welker gone, Danny Amendola comes over from St. Louis after an impressive albeit injury prone four year stint with the Rams. Amendola brings some of the same skills that Welker brought to the table he can lineup all over the field and is also effective in the slot. He also gives Brady another target in the intermediate, middle of the field passing game.

More Additions, Subtractions at Wide Out
Along with the loss of Welker, the Patriots released Brandon Lloyd after one disappointing season, just a year after signing him. To replace him as a semi-deep threat is Donald Jones, former Bills wide receiver.

The Patriots must see something in Jones that other teams have missed. He still has plenty of potential and has shown the ability to become a big play threat in the past, but he just hauled in 41 catches for 443 yards in 12 games last season. However, Bill Belichick clearly seems to have a knack of knowing who works and doesn't work in his system, and we're willing to bet he fits in just fine.

The Patriots will likely add another wide out in the draft, perhaps a tall receiver as they currently have no real deep threat. The front office is also mulling over an offer sheet to Steelers' free agent Emmanuel Sanders whose speed and skillfulness would fit in nicely in the Pats' offense.

Can Brady Mesh With His New Core Of Receivers?

It's almost not worth asking this question because the answer has been the same for Brady's entire career. When the Patriots let Deion Branch go or traded Randy Moss, Brady wasn't happy, but he moved on and continued to put up monster numbers. Brady surely is not thrilled about losing Welker, but we have no doubt in his ability to be a top 5 quarterback with his current weapons.

In fact, the uncertainty surrounding the Patriots passing offense may offer better odds for bettors because they have lost some key players. The offense's current roster is good enough for another Super Bowl run with Brady at the helm.

Defense and Secondary

New England has shored up their secondary by making a move for veteran safety Adrian Wilson. Wilson comes over from the Arizona Cardinals, where he made five Pro Bowls in his 12 seasons in Arizona. Still playing at a high level, his versatility is something every team desires in a strong safety. He has the ability to rush the passer and is excellent down the field in coverage.

His addition will lock Devin McCourty into the free safety position, a place he excelled once changing positions late into the 2012 season. The Patriots may also look to the draft for more depth at safety and perhaps to find an eventual replacement to Adrian Wilson who is in the latter end of his career.
Aquib Talib has signed a one year deal to remain the Pats' top corner, and Kyle Arrington has been kept on board as the slot corner. Again, the team may look to this year's draft to add more talent to their cornerback position. Talib has just a one year deal, so they could have to replace him as soon as next year.

Other Moves

Danny Woodhead has left via free agency to San Diego, even after a highly productive season. The Patriots have brought in Leon Washington to possibly replace him as the gadget back and to possibly return punts and kickoffs.

The Patriots will look to resign Julian Edelman who became a nice target for Brady as the season went on, after starting the season as just a return man. It may be tough for the Patriots to resign Edelman he has drawn the interest of a number of teams looking for return help and an effective slot receiver.

Is New England A Good Bet To Make It Back to Super Bowl XVLIII?

The Patriots are perennial championship contenders, and that has not changed with the loss of Welker or what some may call a poor start to their offseason. Of course, the draft will give a better look at the Patriots impending roster, but New England is always in the mix. One wonders if Gronkowski had stayed healthy throughout the playoffs if last season could have ended differently.

Who knows? At +650, the Patriots are a solid bet to make their way back to the Super Bowl. No one can ever count Belichick and Brady ¨C and at this price, we'll bet on it.

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